The NFC East has been nothing short of a fascination so far this season, with its members combining for a staggering 0.208 win percentage (5-18-1). The oft-banged up Eagles face the equally-banged up Giants in the worst Thursday Night Football matchup since the Jets vs Broncos. What makes this one intriguing is that the 1-5 New York Giants are just a game out of first place and a half-game back from Philadelphia. Buckle up, because we have to dig deep for these player props.
Below are the picks for this week’s best player prop bets and some of the most intriguing individual matchups of the week.
Thursday’s most intriguing matchup
Travis Fulgham vs James Bradberry
He’s played in just three games this year, but Travis Fulgham has established himself as Carson Wentz’ new favorite target. He exploded onto the scene against San Francisco with a 28.5-yard average per reception and a touchdown, followed by 13 targets for 152 yards and another touchdown. Even against Marcus Peters and the Ravens’ secondary, Fulgham found the end zone again and was targeted 10 more times. Expect his target share to remain steady (or even increase) as Zach Ertz will miss a few weeks with an injury.
Enter Giants’ star defensive back James Bradberry. This season, he’s held Allen Robinson to three catches (nine targets) for 33 yards, Robert Woods to six catches for 39 yards, Amari Cooper to two catches for 23 yards and Terry McLaurin to seven catches on 12 targets. PFF grades Bradberry at 83.7– within the top seven in the league.
With the aforementioned Ertz and bellcow Miles Sanders sidelined for this one, Fulgham presents himself as the only viable option for the Eagles’ offense. With Bradberry on this matchup, whether or not Fulgham gets going could dictate not only Philadelphia’s offensive rhythm, but the outcome of this game.
Player Prop Picks
Boston Scott: UNDER 49.5 rushing yards (-110)
Despite being torched defensively, the Giants have had a respectable run defense, allowing just 106.5 total rushing yards per game (8th). Miles Sanders is sitting this game out with an ankle sprain, so Scott will be the go-to guy in the Eagles’ backfield. That was also the case Week 1 against Washington, where Scott was held to 54 total yards and no touchdowns.
Some might remember last season’s breakout in Week 11 (before getting injured), where Scott torched the Giants’ defense for 84 receiving yards and three total touchdowns. In that game, he only picked up 54 rushing yards on 19 carries; in fact, both of Scott’s highest-rushing outputs came in his 2019 matchups against the Giants. Putting “highest-rushing” into perspective, he failed to breach 60 yards on the ground in either game despite averaging 15 carries. A bet on the over for rushing yards is a bet on Boston Scott to have a career day.
Carson Wentz: OVER 249.5 passing yards (-110)
Carson Wentz is without Alshon Jeffrey, Miles Sanders, DeSean Jackson, and Zach Ertz and here we are advising you to bet the over on Wentz’ passing yards? Throughout his career, Wentz has thrived when his best pieces fall. In four career regular season games without Zach Ertz, Wentz has averaged 266 passing yards, thrown eight total touchdowns and just one interception.
Just a season ago, he averaged more than 282 yards over the last seven weeks of the year when Philadelphia was decimated with injuries. At one point toward the end of the season, the Eagles were forced to run 22 personnel (two tight ends, two running backs) because they didn’t have enough healthy receivers on their roster to do anything else. Boston Scott and Dallas Goedert lined up as outside receivers just to field players.
So, here we are, with Wentz’ four top targets down, telling you to take the over on his passing yards.