UFC Vegas #16 Betting Prediction: Gabriel Benitez vs. Justin Jaynes

In the upcoming UFC Fight Night event, there is a fight to check out on the main card before you dive into the co-main or main event. In this bout, you can catch the lightweight showdown between Gabriel Benitez and Justin Jaynes.

Date: Sat, Dec. 5, 9:00 P.M. Eastern

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN 2

Gabriel Benitez (21-9-0)

Benitez is coming off of a two-fight losing streak heading into this matchup. His last bout was a decision back in May against Omar Morales. In both losses, he had been outstruck when looking at significant strikes alone.

His fighting resume shows that he has seven wins by knockout, 10 by submission, and four by decision. He also has 10 first-round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

“Moggly” has a striking accuracy at 38 percent and a grappling accuracy at 50 percent. He lands 4.14 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.16. This is a solid ratio, with some room to improve on both ends.

Benitez has a takedown defense at 56 percent and a significant strike defense at 71 percent. He also averages 0.18 takedowns and 1.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

Justin Jaynes (16-5-0)

Jaynes is stepping into this fight after a tough submission loss to Gavin Tucker back in August. That loss snapped his previous five-fight winning streak, in which all of those fights were first-round finishes.

His fighting resume shows that he has eight wins by knockout, five by submission, two by decision, and one by other. He also has 12 first-round finishes with a combined effort of knockouts and submissions.

“Guitar Hero” only has two UFC bouts on his resume. So far, he has split his two appearances with a win and a loss.

He has a striking accuracy at 43 percent but nothing yet for a grappling average. He lands 4.60 significant strikes a minute but absorbs an inflated amount of 7.34. This is due to a bad loss to Tucker, in which he was outstruck 87-41.

Jaynes has a takedown defense at 50 percent and a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also averages 1.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has this one favoring Benitez so far. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently set at:

Benitez: -204

Jaynes: +169

* odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Jaynes has a decent enough skill set to make this fight interesting. Benitez is also coming off two straight losses, so that could be why the market is not too heavy on him for this one.

They match up well, but Benitez appears to be the better fighter here. Jaynes has made impressive runs until he stepped into the UFC, where the competition is arguably better.

Overall, look for Benitez to have a better striking performance and leg kicks here. He could end it early too.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Benitez wins via TKO, at -204

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