UFC 257 Betting Prediction: Khalil Rountree vs. Marcin Prachnio

Opening for the preliminary card is a light heavyweight matchup you do not want to miss. Khalil Rountree Jr and Marcin Prachnio will battle it out as they look to gain momentum in the division.

Date:Sat, Jan 23, 7:00 PM

Venue:Etihad Arena

Watch on:ESPN

The Fighters

Khalil Rountree Jr (9-4-0)

Rountree is returning to the octagon after a first round TKO loss to Ion Cutelaba back in September of 2019. He did not have a professional fight in all of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has six wins by knockout and three by decision. More impressively, every single one of his knockouts have been first round finishes.

“The War Horse” has a striking accuracy at 40 percent but nothing yet for grappling accuracy. He lands 3.01 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.85. This is a solid ratio that leaves some room on the table to be more aggressive if needed.

Rountree has a takedown defense at 46 percent and a significant strike defense at 47 percent. He does not have any averages for takedowns or submissions yet since he typically stays on his feet and focuses on striking.

Marcin Prachnio (13-5-0)

Prachnio has been on a rough stretch lately. He is currently on a three fight, first round knockout, losing streak. His last bout was against Mike Rodriguez back in August of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has 10 wins by knockout, one by submission, and two by decision. Out of his 11 finishes with knockouts and submissions, all of them have resulted in first round finishes.

He has a striking accuracy at 48 percent but nothing yet for grappling accuracy. He lands 3.26 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.38. This ratio is a bit on the negative side, showing that he takes on more than he delivers.

Prachnio has a significant strike defense at 40 percent. For takedowns and submissions, he does not yet have enough for his UFC averages even though this could change since he has at least one submission in his professional career.

Odds For This Event

The market is having Rountree as a moderate favorite here. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently placed at:

Rountree: -345

Prachnio: +258

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both fighters are going through some interesting processes right now, looking to recover and move on with a victory. It is no secret that Prachnio needs a win here badly, or at least make it to the second round of a fight again.

Bettors are not very confident in his likelihood of winning this fight, so this could be why he is casted as a heavy underdog. Rountree looks promising when you look at a solid striking accuracy, significant strikes, and the fact that Prachnio has not defended well against those.

Overall, Rountree should perform well. Not sure about the first round knockout, but it is heavily in his favor.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Rountree wins via TKO, at -345

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