Suns vs Nuggets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 23, 2021

A game after he put up 31 points in a 130-126 loss to the Nuggets, Devin Booker leads the Phoenix Suns (8-6) at home against the Denver Nuggets (8-7) on Saturday, January 23, 2021. The Suns are in the matchup, which airs at 9:00 PM ET on FS-AZ. The matchup’s point total is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of January 22, 2021, 8:25 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Suns vs Nuggets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of January 23

Suns:
Damian Jones: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Dario Saric: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Nuggets:
Greg Whittington: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Suns (-1)
Total Pick Over (218.5)
Prediction Suns 113, Nuggets 108

Our computers expect the same result as William Hill, but have the Suns winning by a considerably greater margin (5.0 points). Take the Suns.

In this game, the model projects a total (221.9 points) a little higher than the William Hill over/under (218.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Devin Booker 14 22.9 3.5 4.1 1.0 0.4 2.1
Mikal Bridges 14 15.4 5.9 1.8 0.6 1.1 2.7
Deandre Ayton 14 14.9 12.1 1.9 0.3 1.2 0.1
Chris Paul 14 13.3 4.4 8.7 0.9 0.3 0.9
Cameron Johnson 14 11.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.5 2.4

Suns Player Props

  • Booker’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 34.5, 4.0 higher than his season average of 30.5.
  • Chris Paul’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 1.1 higher than his season average of 26.4.
  • Mikal Bridges’ three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 1.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Booker’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.5 steals less than his season average of 1.0.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 15 25.5 11.4 9.9 1.9 0.6 1.2
Jamal Murray 14 19.1 3.7 4.4 1.1 0.2 2.1
Michael Porter Jr. 5 17.0 6.6 1.8 1.0 1.2 2.4
Will Barton 15 11.8 4.2 3.1 1.0 0.6 1.5
Monte Morris 15 11.7 2.3 3.2 0.9 0.3 1.2

Nuggets Player Props

  • Nikola Jokic’s assists prop total for the matchup is listed at 7.5 assists, 2.4 assists lower than his season average of 9.9.
  • Michael Porter Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots greater than his season average of 2.4.
  • Jokic’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals lower than his season average of 1.9.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Suns have a 47.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is one% lower than the 48.1% of shots the Nuggets’ opponents have hit.
  • Phoenix is 6-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall when it shoots higher than 48.1% from the field.
  • Denver’s record is 6-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall when its opponents make more than 47.1% of their shots from the field.
  • The Nuggets are shooting 48.2% from the field, 1.6% higher than the 46.6% the Suns’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Denver has put together a 5-3 record against the spread and a 6-3 straight up record in games it shoots above 46.6% from the field.
  • Phoenix is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot over 48.2% from the field.
  • The Suns shoot 36.3% from three-point range, 2.2% lower than the 38.5% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
  • Phoenix is 5-1 against the spread and 5-2 overall when it shoots better than 38.5% from distance.
  • Denver is 5-1 against the spread while putting together a 5-1 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 36.3% from three-point distance.
  • The Nuggets shoot 36.6% from beyond the arc this season. That’s just 1.1 percentage points higher than the Suns have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (35.5%).
  • Denver is 4-4 ATS and 4-4 overall when the team makes more than 35.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Phoenix is 4-2 ATS and 4-3 overall in games it shoots above 36.6% from deep.
  • The Suns’ 13.8 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.3 more made shots on average than the 12.5 per game the Nuggets give up.
  • Phoenix is 7-3 against the spread and 7-4 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while Denver is 2-6 ATS and 3-6 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Nuggets make the 18th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Suns give up the fewest makes from beyond the arc.

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Suns vs Nuggets Stat Rankings

Suns Rank Suns AVG Nuggets AVG Nuggets Rank
15th 111 Points Scored 116.6 5th
8th 108.2 Points Allowed 112.7 21st
28th 42.8 Rebounds 44.1 11th
28th 8.1 Off. Rebounds 11.4 4th
8th 13.8 3pt Made 12.5 18th
5th 26.4 Assists 27.6 2nd
6th 13 Turnovers 13.4 11th

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