Steelers vs. Browns Week 17 Betting Preview: Fighting for Playoff Spot, Cleveland Favored By a Touchdown

It was a tale of two halves, as the Pittsburgh Steelers rallied from a 21-7 halftime deficit to beat the Indianapolis Colts 28-24.

The Steelers stopped a three-game losing streak and kickstarted a stalled offense to outscore the Colts 21-0 over the final 18:16. The comeback win clinched the AFC North and gave the Steelers (12-3) less to play for in Week 17 when they visit the Cleveland Browns (10-5).

The Bills hold the tiebreaker over the Steelers, and could finish as the No. 2 seed in the AFC if they end up on top in their final two games. In that case, Pittsburgh would end up as the No. 3 seed.

The bookmakers seem to think the Steelers will go with their backups. PA online sports betting apps list the Browns as 7-point favorites with the total points line at 42.5. It puts the Steelers as the biggest underdog versus the Browns in over thirty years of their matchups.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Colts betting splits

In Week 16, the Steelers opened as 1.5-point underdogs against the Indianapolis Colts with the total points line at 44.5. But by Sunday the line flipped and the Steelers were a 1.5 or 1-point favorite at PA sportsbook apps.

Betting splits from FanDuel for Steelers vs. Colts:

  • 54% of the money was on the Colts (-1) to cover the spread
  • 54% of the money was on the Steelers (-108 ) moneyline
  • 79% of the money was on the OVER (42.5)

At BetRivers:

  • 55% of the money was on the Steelers (+1) to cover the spread
  • 54% of the money was on the Steelers (-105) moneyline
  • 71% of the money was on the OVER (44.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns odds

Here are the opening odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, followed by the latest Steelers game odds.

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Pittsburgh Steelers +7 (-115) +235 O 42.5 (OTB)
Cleveland Browns -7 (-105) -290 U 42.5 (OTB)

Pittsburgh Steelers 2020 odds tracker

(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Sept. 1, 2020 Oct. 1 (Week 6) Oct. 20 (Week 7) Oct. 27 (Week 8) Nov. 3 (Week 9) Nov. 10 (Week 10) Nov. 17 (Week 11) Nov. 24 (Week 12) Dec. 3 (Week 13) Dec. 8. (Week 14) Dec. 15 (Week 15) Dec. 22 (Week 16)
Super Bowl +2500 +1300 +1200 +950 +600 +600 +600 +550 +550 +750 +1300 +2000
AFC Championship +1300 +750 +600 +470 +300 +300 +250 +270 +250 +370 +600 +1000
AFC North +340 +220 +150 +120 -320 not listed -800 -2500 -2000 -3000 -10000 -340

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts betting preview

The Steelers offense had been sputtering for about 18 quarters of football. They failed to score over 20 points since Nov. 22 when they visited the one-win Jacksonville Jaguars. In Week 16 against the Colts, Ben Roethlisberger spurred the Steelers second-half revival tossing for 244 of his season-high 342 yards and three touchdowns in the second half.

The defense held the Colts to only a field goal in the second half. TJ Watt recorded his 14th and 15th sack against the Colts. He is the first Steeler with more than 14 sacks in multiple seasons.

The comeback win gave the Steelers their first AFC North title since 2017. It is head coach Mike Tomlin‘s seventh division title in 14 seasons. Due to COVID schedule changes, the Steelers lost their Week 8 bye. A report surfaced yesterday that Roethlisberger hyperextended his knee in Week 13.

Without a bye and with the Kansas City Chiefs having wrapped up the top spot in the AFC, Tomlin could choose to rest some starters.

The Cleveland Browns were without seven players due to COVID-19 issues, including four wide receivers for their Week 16 game against the one-win New York Jets. However, quarterback Baker Mayfield took the blame for the 23-16 loss. He fumbled three times, losing two. The backbreaker happened on the potentially game-tying drive late in the game on fourth-and-1.

In his postgame interview Mayfield answered one question:

“I failed this team. I put three balls on the ground, two of them that they recovered and the other on fourth down — just hold onto the damn ball. Plain and simple. I have to hold onto the damn ball.”

The Browns control their playoff fate, needing a win against the Steelers in Week 17 to get in.

Steelers vs. Browns betting stats and info from DraftKings

  • The Steelers are 9-6 ATS, and the Browns are 6-9 ATS
  • Seven of the Steelers’ 15 games have gone OVER. Eight for the Browns.
  • Steelers’ win probability is 27%.
  • 3-1: Steelers record as underdogs.
  • The Steelers defense ranks second in the league for least amount of yards allowed per game with 302.3. Also, they have surrendered the second-lowest ppg (19.2).

Week 17 promos at PA sportsbook apps

BetMGM:

  • Risk-free $500 bet for new users.

DraftKings:

  • New user deposit bonus: Get a 20% bonus, up to $1,000.

FanDuel:

  • Risk-Free $1,000 bet for new users: New users at FanDuel can get up to a $1,000 free bet. Register, make a deposit, and place a wager on the FanDuel sportsbook app. Then, if the first wager loses, FanDuel will refund losses in the form of a free bet up to $1,000.

BetRivers Free NFL Profit Boost every week:

Fox Bet:

  • Risk-free $500 bet: Place your first bet, and if it loses, the Fox Bet sportsbook app will match it as a free bet up to $500.
  • $1 bet pays $50: New users only. $1 bet pays $50 in free bets if the Steelers score.

Unibet:

  • Beat the Spread Bonus: $1 bonus for every point your team beats the spread by.
  • Pigskin Parlay: Instant 50% cash boost when creating an eight-team parlay.

Complete Week 17 NFL Odds at PA Sportsbooks

Lead image credit: AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar

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