Photo by @AroundTheNFL (Twitter).
- Baltimore Ravens visit the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football favored to record 11th straight outright road win
- NFL season betting record: 6-9-1; -4.24 units
- We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of this clash of AFC rivals at Gillette Stadium below
The Baltimore Ravens will be gunning for an 11th consecutive win on the road when they visit the faltering New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football as 7-point favorites. The Patriots are coming off a 30-27 victory over New York on Monday Night Football, but have failed to tally consecutive wins since Week 16 of last season.
Weather could emerge as a real factor in Sunday night’s matchup, with rain and seasonal temperatures in the forecast for an 8:20pm ET kickoff at Gillette Stadium.
Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots Odds
|Baltimore Ravens||-7 (-110)||-286||O 43.5 (-110)|
|New England Patriots||+7 (-110)||+245||U 43.5 (-110)|
*Odds from DraftKings on 11/15/2020.
Line Movement and SNF Trends
There has been little movement on the spread since Baltimore opened favored by 6.5 points. The point total has made a steady climb since opening at 41, with sports bettors taking the OVER pushing the number to as high as 44 before seeing it settle at its current position at 43.5.
However, New England has struggled to score points during a two-game slide on home turf, averaging just nine points per game in those contests. The UNDER has also prevailed in three of the Patriots’ past four home appearances on Sunday Night Football.
Least-efficient offenses since Week 3:
31. New England Patriots
32. New York Jets pic.twitter.com/7RmojQKKhM
— PFF (@PFF) November 9, 2020
The Ravens are also unbeaten in their past two Sunday Night Football appearances and their past three road contests played in prime time. Baltimore has also topped the Patriots in two previous SNF meetings, capped by a decisive 37-20 victory in Week 9 of last season.
Ravens Paying Out During Epic Road Surge
The Ravens have emerged as a steady bet since embarking on their epic road winning streak. With last weekend’s 24-10 win in Indianapolis as 1-point underdogs, the Ravens improved to 7-1-2 ATS in their past 10 away dates.
Now sporting a 6-2 SU record, the Ravens have also been reliable when facing lightweight opponents. Baltimore’s only two losses this season have come against the currently undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers and the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. KC are also the only team to hand them a road loss since October 2018.
The Ravens shut Indy out in the 2nd half on their way to a 24-10 road win.
✅ BAL (-110)
✅ BAL +1.5
✅ u48#RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/5fzRJxQpKA
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) November 8, 2020
Baltimore has powered its attack with the NFL’s leading ground game. With quarterback Lamar Jackson emerging as the team’s top ball carrier, the Ravens have averaged over 170 rushing yards per game, and racked up 10 scores. That is bad news for the Patriots, who have struggled to contain opposing rushers, surrendering seven total TDs in back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Buffalo prior to last week’s win over the hapless Jets.
A ferocious Ravens defense also spells trouble for the offensively challenged Patriots. Baltimore has been particularly stingy on the road, surrendering more than 17 points just once in their past nine, and posting wins by double-digit margins on seven occasions during that stretch.
Patriots Struggling On Both Ends
Conversely, the Patriots offense has floundered. Quarterback Cam Newton has failed to connect on a scoring pass in each of the past four games while tossing six picks during that stretch. And while Newton deserves credit for rallying the Patriots to a fourth-quarter comeback victory over New York last weekend, the team’s lacklustre performance over the first three quarters of their date with the NFL’s worst team represents a major cause for concern.
Cam Newton hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass since Week 3.
— JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) November 10, 2020
Indeed, Newton’s disappointing performance and the prospect of rain are reflected in the player props, where the veteran pivot is pegged as a lengthy +183 to toss multiple scoring passes, and sports short -182 odds to throw at least one interception.
Previously Marquee Matchup Now a Mismatch
In recent years, this contest would be viewed as a highly anticipated matchup between AFC contenders. However, with a lengthy list of injuries, a struggling veteran quarterback guiding a spotty offense, and an defense that has been exploited with regularity, the Patriots are ripe for the picking.
That is especially true against a high-flying Ravens squad that has regularly risen to the occasion when favored by six or more points on the road, posting eight straight SU wins and going 6-1-1 ATS while averaging 35.5 points per game. While the threat of rain could put a damper on scoring, look for the Ravens to easily cover in this mismatch.
The Pick: Ravens -7 (-110)