Last pick: NCAAF: Nevada ML (+116) ✅
Event: NCAAF: Memphis vs FAU
Pick: Memphis o29.5 points (-115)
WHY THIS WILL HIT: Memphis has regressed slightly on offense this year, but thats just because of how insanely good they were last year. Memphis is still averaging 31.6 points per game and 451 yards of total offense per game. They have scored more than 30 points 6/10 games this year, the games they missed the mark were Tulane, Cincinnati, Navy, and SMU. QB Brady White is experienced and very effective for the Tigers boasting a 28 to 9 TD to INT ratio. Memphis has been okay on the ground this year but mainly rely on the talents of White and future NFL WR Calvin Austin. Memphis RB Rodrigues Clark has been underused all year but makes it happen against bad defenses and should find the holes in the Owls run defense.
FAU on defense has been strong this year with 16.5 points per game allowed. With a strength of schedule of 130th in the FBS, the road to defensive success has been pretty easy for the Owls. FAU has not seen an offense nearly as good as Memphis this year. Turnovers have been hard to come by for this defense with just 8 on the year, dont expect that to change much with the experience of Brady White at QB for Memphis. Last week vs USM, FAU got torched on the ground for 45 points by an average USM offense. Im expecting the same result from a much better Memphis offense.
Not taking Memphis to cover because of their insanely terrible defense. FAU can easily keep this game close which would be even better for the Memphis total.
Lets fucking bol.