Pick of the Day – 1/1/21 (Friday)

Darts ?- PDC World Championship

Darts Record: 28-11

Previous World Championship picks:

Jeff Smith (-122) v Keane Berry ✅

Chris Dobey (-152) v Jeff Smith ✅

Daryl Gurney (-152) v William OConnor ✅

Adam Hunt (+120) v Jamie Hughes ✅

Mervyn King (-175) v Max Hopp ✅

Jeffrey de Zwaan (+100) v Ryan Searle ❌

Ian White (-175) v Kim Huybrechts ❌

Joe Cullen (-139) v Jonny Clayton ✅

Gary Anderson (-152) v Mensur Suljovic ✅

Daryl Gurney (-125) v Chris Dobey ✅

Gary Anderson (-125) v Devon Petersen ✅

POTD: Daryl Gurney (+200) v Gerwyn Price

Of the four matches today, the one catching my eye is World #11 Daryl Gurney vs World #3 Gerwyn Price. I like Superchin Gurney to pull the upset for several reasons.

Each have won three matches this world championship. The stats are as follows (scoring avg / checkout %)

Gurney – 99.2/42% ; 101.4/44% ; 93.7/33% Price – 91.9/34.5% ; 99.8/50% ; 97.7/51%

Gurney’s scoring has always been solid. I expect him to have a higher scoring avg than Price. It’s likely to boil down to check out % and punishing opponents mistakes. Price has been relying wayy to much on his checkouts to secure victories. If Gurney can perform close to the numbers he put up in his first two matches, I really believe he can get the job done here.

These two also have a bit of bad blood between them. In a 7-7 Premier league draw back in May 2019, security had to separate these two after some pushing and shoving occurred on stage. Gurney apologized on Twitter, but stated later he could “write a book on what went on that game,” and that he, “couldn’t hold my tongue and told [Price] how I felt.”

If Iceman Price wins the world championship, he will claim the World #1 spot. The guy doesn’t shut up about it, saying in his most recent post match interview he thinks about it every day.

Also worth noting, is that despite Price holding a 9-3 lifetime head to head record against Gurney, their last five matches include two draws, two Gurney victories, and one Price victory.

While Gurney is a 2-1 dog in this one, I believe the odds are closer to a coin flip. I also sense that Price may be overlooking Gurney, looking ahead to the semi finals and potentially the finals.

In the bracket, the winner of this match would likely be a favorite in the semis, taking on the winner of Ratajski/Bunting.

People have been sleeping on the Superchin a lot this year, and I’m looking to see an inspired Daryl Gurney today.

Taking Gurney (+200) to win the match straight up and advance to the semis.

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