Horse Racing Picks by Dietz for Gulfstream Park – Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021

I apologize for the wrong date on my last post stating the Pegasus World Cup is this weekend, it is the weekend of the 23rd. We have one weekend to make some bank roll. Lets do this.

Race 4 – TURF

  • 1 – DECLAREATRUCE – Zayas/Bush. Bush does well with turf horses. Comes in the money 40% on turf races. Why not.
  • 2 – COURAGEOUSLY – Lopez/kCasse. Paid $625K for this second time out horse with a very impressive 70n Beyer in debut. Will be tough to beat.
  • 3 – TWICE AS SMART – Seaz/Motion. Seaz is heating up. This horse was closing late in debut at 5F, went to synthetic track next out and hated it, goes back to turf and stretches out to 1 mile. Nice price in exotics.
  • 10 – ALEXANDER VALLEY – Alvarado/Mott. Paid 2.1 MILLION for this horse. Second time out I expect a much better effort. Should be rate and closing.

Race 7 – TURF

  • 1 – HE’SPUREGOLD – Gaffalione/Nehei. Third race of the form cycle, came flying late last out to get second. Rider switch will help huge. TOP 2
  • 3 – CONRAD THE RED – Seaz/Casse. Third race of the form cycle with a decent 64 Beyer last out. He is the speed of the speed in here and will no doubt try to steal on the front end. Exotics.
  • 7 – SHAFTSBURY – Irad/Pletcher. Paid $675 for this horse. Second time out where Pletcher hits at 22% Stretch out from 5F to 1 mile is key.

Race 8 – THE SUNSHINE FILLY AND MARE TURF

  • 4- SUN SUMMERS – Irad/Maker. Horse has been improving with each race and has won two in a row. This one just might be in top form. Key in exotics for the win.
  • 6 – SUGAR FIX – Gaffalione/Joseph Jr. Drops in class from Grade 3 level efforts. Will be on the front end and may have it all alone. Top 3.
  • 9 – BIENVILLE STREET – Lopez/Gambolati. Deep closer, Paco rode this horse last out to a win and the fact that he comes right back with this horse is intriguing to me. Top 3.

MOST LIKELY TO WIN

Race 3 – #3 FRANCOS TEAM

LONG SHOT OF THE DAY

Race 4 – #1 DECLAREATRUCE

PICK 4

I do not see this PICK 4 paying much. We have two heavy favorites in legs 1 and 2. Both could win easily. Hoping to sneak a long shot in there.

  • Race 9 – 1, 4
  • Race 10 – 5, 7
  • Race 11 – 9
  • Race 12 – ALL

Good luck and thanks for horse racing with Dietz!

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