- Five of Bournemouth’s last six league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Under 2.5 goals have been netted in all but four of Derby’s 23 Championship fixtures including their 1-1 draw against the Cherries in October.
- Bournemouth have drawn half of their dozen away trips this season.
Tight Game in Prospect at Pride Park
Both of these sides will be craving three points for different reasons on Tuesday night, but the spoils could well be shared at Pride Park in a low scoring draw.
Bournemouth’s automatic promotion bid has somewhat hit the buffers of late and the Cherries have now won just one of their last five league starts after an extremely disappointing 0-1 reverse against Luton on Saturday.
Dean Holden’s men are four points behind second-placed Swansea and eight adrift of leaders Norwich, so only a victory will do for them here to stay firmly in touch and possibly reduce the gap depending on how the other midweek games play out.
The league positions dictate that the visitors are generally much the better side of this pair and Derby succumbed to their third defeat in four against Rotherham here at the weekend (0-1) which got Wayne Rooney’s permanent managerial tenure off to the worst possible start.
But we can expect Rooney to ignite some kind of response from the Rams this Tuesday and the fact Bournemouth have won just four from 12 on the road (D6, L2) tempers enthusiasm for backing the away side.
We’re predicting a 1-1 draw based on the visitors’ high number of away stalemates and lack of recent wins, with under 2.5 goals appealing as the main wager.
There have been less than three goals netted in all but four of Derby’s 23 league starts this term, which five of Bournemouth’s last half dozen matches have also generated under 2.5.