Bucks vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 4, 2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (3-3) are at home in Central Division play against the Detroit Pistons (1-5) on Monday, January 4, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The Bucks are in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has a point total of .

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of January 4, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Pistons Betting Odds

Injury Report as of January 4

Bucks:
Torrey Craig: Out (Nose)

Pistons:
Frank Jackson: Day To Day (Not With Team),
Josh Jackson: Day To Day (Ankle),
Jahlil Okafor: Day To Day (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Pistons (+14.5)

Pick OU:
Over (227.5)

Prediction:
Pistons 122 Bucks 108
The model favors the Bucks by 13.9 points, just 0.6 less than the 14.5-point spread set by FanDuel.The FanDuel point total for this matchup is just 1.8 points lower than the model projection.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 6 23.5 11.7 5.8 1.8 0.8 1.2
Khris Middleton 6 21.2 5.8 6.3 1.3 0.2 2.7
Jrue Holiday 6 15.5 3.7 5.0 2.0 0.7 2.2
Donte DiVincenzo 6 13.5 3.0 1.3 1.7 0.2 3.2
Bobby Portis 6 10.8 7.7 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.8

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s points prop total for the contest is set at 27.5, 4.0 points greater than his season average of 23.5.
  • Khris Middleton’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 32.5, 0.8 lower than his season average of 33.3.
  • Donte DiVincenzo’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 1.7 shots lower than his season average of 3.2.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals lower than his season average of 2.0.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 6 22.8 5.7 1.5 1.0 1.0 2.5
Josh Jackson 6 15.5 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.7 1.5
Derrick Rose 5 14.6 2.6 5.8 1.2 0.4 0.8
Delon Wright 6 8.8 3.2 3.3 0.5 0.7 0.8
Saddiq Bey 5 8.8 4.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 2.4

Pistons Player Props

  • Jerami Grant’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 20.5, 9.5 less than his season average of 30.0.
  • Derrick Rose’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 25.5, 2.5 higher than his season average of 23.0.
  • Grant’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 1.0 shot lower than his season average of 2.5.
  • Grant’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 blocks higher than his season average of 1.0.

Shooting Trends

  • The Bucks are shooting 48.6% from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points lower than the 48.9% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • Milwaukee is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall when it shoots higher than 48.9% from the field.
  • Detroit has a 1-2 record against the spread and a 1-2 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 48.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons’ 43.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.4 percentage points lower than the Bucks have allowed to their opponents (45.6%).
  • Detroit is 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 overall when it shoots higher than 45.6% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot higher than 43.2% from the field, it is 1-0 against the spread and 1-0 overall.
  • The Bucks are knocking down 43.7% of their three-point shots this season, 5.1% higher than the 38.6% the Pistons allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Milwaukee is 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall when it shoots better than 38.6% from distance.
  • Detroit is 1-3 against the spread and 1-3 overall when its opponents shoot better than 43.7% from deep.
  • The Pistons shoot 34.1% from three-point distance this season. That’s 1.4 percentage points lower than the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (35.5%).
  • Detroit is 1-2 against the spread and 0-3 overall when shooting above 35.5% as a team from three-point range.
  • Milwaukee has a 3-0 ATS record and a 3-0 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 34.1% from three-point range.
  • The Bucks’ 18 made three-pointers per game this season is 5.2 more made shots on average than the 12.8 per game the Pistons allow.
  • Milwaukee is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall when it makes more threes than its opponents, while Detroit is 1-2 ATS and 0-3 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
  • The Pistons are the 11th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Bucks allow the 17th-fewest makes from deep.

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Bucks vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
1st 124.5 Points Scored 110.3 18th
13th 110.5 Points Allowed 116.3 25th
5th 48.7 Rebounds 45.8 15th
6th 11.7 Off. Rebounds 11.8 4th
1st 18 3pt Made 12.8 11th
8th 25.5 Assists 24.2 17th
20th 15.2 Turnovers 14 8th

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