Browns vs Chiefs Odds, Lines, and Spread

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes throwing the football.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes throws before an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons Sunday, Dec. 27, 2020, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point home favorites over the Cleveland Browns in Sunday’s NFL Divisional Round playoff game
  • Saturday/Sunday betting record: 11-7; +2.95 units
  • See below for a preview of the game, along with updated odds and our best bet

Last year, the Kansas City Chiefs won their first Super Bowl in 50 years. Sunday, the Cleveland Browns will seek to win two playoff games in the same season for the first time in 71 years.

The odds are not in Cleveland’s favor. The Chiefs are sitting as the 10-point betting favorite in their NFL Divisional Round playoff game, and with good reason.

Not only are the Chiefs an NFL-best 14-2 this season, they’re also 3-0 both straight up and against the spread over the past two playoff years when coming off a bye week.

Kansas City was the lone AFC team to earn a bye in the second round of the NFL postseason.

Browns vs Chiefs NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Cleveland Browns +400 +10 (-109) O 57 (-113)
Kansas City Chiefs -500 -10 (-112) U 57 (-108)

Odds taken Jan. 16th at DraftKings.

Game time Sunday, Jan. 17th at Arrowhead Stadium is 3:05pm EST. The weather forecast is calling for clouds, 15 mph wind and a temperature of 36 degrees.

Browns’ Two-Headed Monster

Chiefs safety Tyronn Mathieu described Cleveland running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt as a “double-headed monster.” The Browns were third in the NFL running the ball this season, averging 148.4 yards per game.

They gashed Pittsburgh for 127 yards on the ground during their 48-37 Wild Card Weekend win. Kansas City was 21st in the NFL at stopping the run (122.1 ypg), so there is cause for concern.

Chubb went over 1,000 rushing yards despite missing part of the season due to a knee injury. Hunt, who led the NFL in rushing with the Chiefs in 2017 (1,327 yards), finished 2020 with 841 yards.

They’re also double threats. Hunt caught 38 passes for 304 yards and five touchdowns. Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield hooked up with Chubb on a 40-yard screen pass TD against the Steelers.

Chiefs Will Come To Pass

Kansas City’s passing game will be equally problematic for the Browns defense. The Chiefs finished the NFL regular season as the league’s most potent offense. KC averaged an NFL-high 415.8 yards per game.

The Chiefs were also the NFL’s No. 1 passing offense, clicking for 303.4 yards per game. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes topped the NFL in passing yardage per game (316).

With 1,416 yards, Travis Kelce established an NFL single-season mark for reception yardage by a tight end. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill snared an AFC-best 15 TD passes. He also posted an NFL-leading 14 yards per touch.

Mahomes was second in the NFL in 20+ yard pass completions (67). KC was third in the NFL at converting third downs (49%). According to Football Outsiders, Cleveland’s defense is 29th in DVOA on deep passes and on third-down passes. The Browns are 28th in DVOA against tight ends.

Injury Report

Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle) and wide receiver Sammy Watkins (calf) are both listed as questionable. Weakside linebacker Willie Gay (ankle) is out.

For the Browns, right tackle Jack Conklin (hamstring/knee) is questionable.

Trendspotting

The last time the Browns won two playoff games in the same season was in 1950, their first year in the NFL. They captured the league title.

With Mahomes at QB, the Chiefs are 10-2 SU when favored by 10 or more points. However, they’re just 5-7 ATS. Coming off a bye with Mahomes under center, KC is averaging 39.4 points per game.

Chiefs coach Andy Reid is 25-5 SU off the bye, including 6-2 in the playoffs. That’s best record of any NFL coach since the bye week was introduced in 1990.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -10 (-112).

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