A pair of sliding teams meet when the Air Force Falcons (4-7) visit the San Jose State Spartans (1-6) on Thursday, January 28, 2021 at 9:30 PM ET. The Falcons are 3.5-point favorites as they look to stop a three-game losing streak against the Spartans, who have lost six straight. The matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 28, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Falcons (-3.5)
The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.5 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
Pick OU:
Under (143.5)
In this game, the model projects a total (141.5 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (143.5 points).
Prediction: Air Force 73, San Jose State 69
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Falcons have an average implied point total of 70.9 this season, which is 3.1 points lower than their implied total in Thursday’s game (74).
- Air Force has not yet scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (74) this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Spartans (83) is 13 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (70).
- San Jose State has put up more than 70 points in two games on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Air Force and San Jose State Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 3.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 5-6 | 2-0 | 7-4 |
| Spartans | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Air Force | San Jose State | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 1/24/2021 | San Diego State | Loss | 91-59 | 1/16/2021 | Colorado State | Loss | 88-61 |
| 1/22/2021 | San Diego State | Loss | 98-61 | 1/14/2021 | Colorado State | Loss | 90-57 |
| 1/18/2021 | Wyoming | Loss | 77-58 | 1/10/2021 | Fresno State | Loss | 80-65 |
| 1/16/2021 | Wyoming | Win | 72-69 | 1/8/2021 | Fresno State | Loss | 79-64 |
| 1/8/2021 | Boise State | Loss | 80-69 | 12/13/2020 | Cal Poly | Loss | 75-71 |
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